Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.030739 0.033047 0.035457 0.038167 0.041132 0.044283 0.047890
2025-06-01 0.026624 0.029849 0.033393 0.037593 0.042451 0.047915 0.054558
2025-06-08 0.023730 0.027438 0.031669 0.036886 0.043183 0.050588 0.060030
2025-06-15 0.021738 0.025764 0.030500 0.036531 0.044072 0.053279 0.065504
2025-06-22 0.020169 0.024405 0.029518 0.036212 0.044840 0.055721 0.070700
2025-06-29 0.018709 0.023040 0.028385 0.035549 0.045030 0.057334 0.074821
2025-07-06 0.017909 0.022429 0.028123 0.035933 0.046538 0.060693 0.081457
2025-07-13 0.017057 0.021682 0.027617 0.035925 0.047471 0.063280 0.087158
2025-07-20 0.016463 0.021224 0.027445 0.036328 0.048953 0.066676 0.094230
2025-07-27 0.015707 0.020502 0.026865 0.036110 0.049516 0.068763 0.099475
2025-08-03 0.015016 0.019826 0.026302 0.035867 0.050001 0.070727 0.104638
2025-08-10 0.014394 0.019211 0.025786 0.035647 0.050482 0.072686 0.109901
2025-08-17 0.013851 0.018685 0.025373 0.035562 0.051167 0.075013 0.115980
2025-08-24 0.013221 0.018007 0.024709 0.035062 0.051182 0.076281 0.120392
2025-08-31 0.012597 0.017307 0.023979 0.034419 0.050922 0.077075 0.124032
2025-09-07 0.012108 0.016783 0.023479 0.034094 0.051135 0.078630 0.129092
2025-09-14 0.011662 0.016302 0.023019 0.033801 0.051371 0.080218 0.134315
2025-09-21 0.011162 0.015719 0.022380 0.033191 0.051045 0.080822 0.137762
2025-09-28 0.010941 0.015545 0.022350 0.033545 0.052328 0.084256 0.146771
2025-10-05 0.010643 0.015241 0.022108 0.033537 0.052994 0.086640 0.153960
2025-10-12 0.010454 0.015094 0.022099 0.033908 0.054321 0.090277 0.163926
2025-10-19 0.010141 0.014745 0.021758 0.033708 0.054636 0.092084 0.170346
2025-10-26 0.009840 0.014403 0.021415 0.033484 0.054891 0.093786 0.176689